How Many Times Has Punxsutawney Phil Been Right?

How Many Times Has Punxsutawney Phil Been Right?

According to EarthSky, as of February 2, 2013, Punxsutawney Phil had made 117 predictions about the coming of spring and had only been correct 39 percent of the time. Phil has only predicted an early spring 16 times during that period.

Punxsutawney Phil's prognostications are managed by the Punxsutawney Groundhog Club. Each year, the Inner Circle gathers in their tuxedos and top hats to draw Phil from his home, communicate with him in "Groundhogese" and receive his prediction for the year.

In 2013, after Phil's prediction of an early spring failed, a Butler County, Ohio, prosecutor named Michael Gmoser issued an indictment against the groundhog. It claimed Phil had intentionally misrepresented his forecast and called for the death penalty. Eventually, the Inner Circle worked out a deal for amnesty, explaining that it had been the club president's fault for misinterpreting Phil's words.