The truth of the premises would, indeed, make the conclusion probable. Therefore, this argument is strong. If the premises are, in fact, true, then the argument is also cogent.
For an argument to qualify as a good argument, it is necessary that the argument be sound or cogent. But soundness or cogency need not be sufficient for a good argument. For example, a circular argument can be a sound argument, but it is certainly not good. Similarly, a cogent argument might nonetheless beg the question. In order for a cogent argument to be a good argument, the premises of the argument would have to satisfy additional conditions, such as being acceptable in the context of discussion, and being relevant to the conclusion.
Coalition's Clear and Unified Message Steadies Nerves ; Publication of Legislation Has Lowered the Political Temperature
May 02, 2013; The political temperature on the abortion issue cooled considerably yesterday as politicians of all parties digested the heads of...